Some truly great prophecies from the past
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Computers in the future may weigh no more than 1.5 tons.
Popular Mechanics, Forecasting
the relentless march of Science, 1949.
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I think there is a world market for maybe five computers.
Thomas Watson, Chairman of IBM,
1943
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But what . . . is good for?
Engineer at the Advanced
Computing Systems Division, 1968, commenting on the microchip.
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I have traveled the length and breadth of the country
and talked to the best people and I can assure you that data processing
is a fad that won't last but a year.
The editor in charge business
books for Prentice Hall, 1957.
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640K ought to be enough for anybody.
Bill Gates, 1981.
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There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their
home.
Ken Olson, President, Chairman,
and Founder of Digital Equipment Corp., 1977.
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The commercial market for computers will never exceed
a half-dozen in the U.S.
Howard Aiken, 1945.
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Who the hell wants to hear actors talk?
H.M. Warner, Warner Brothers, 1927.
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This "telephone" has too many shortcomings to be seriously
considered as a means of communication. This device is inherently of no
value to us.
Western Union internal memo, 1876.
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The wireless music box has no imaginable commercial value.
Who would pay for a message send to nobody in particular?
David Sarnoff's associates in response
to his urgings for investment in the radio in the 1920's.
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We believe that no particular use is made of the fluid petroleum, from the "tar springs"
of California, except as a lotion for bruises and rheumatic affections. It has a repugnant
odor, and although it can be made to burn with a pretty good light, its smell is
offensive. This, perhaps, maybe obviated by distilling it with some acid; we believe that
this is not impossible in this age of advanced chemistry. If the offensive odor could be
removed, a valuable and profitable business might be carried on in manufacturing burning fluid from it.
Scientific American, May 1857
Sources:
- Communications of the ACM 42(November 1999), pp. 11-14.
- Scientific American May 2007, p. 18 .
Any additional items of such a nature, together with
a reasonable, verifiable source, will be welcomed.